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Polycarbonate (PC) Market Prices, Forecasts, and Analysis

MAKET UPDATE

European polycarbonate (PC) prices in June were overall steady, but with increases seen for extrusion. Suppliers aimed for larger increases, but competition and weak demand limited their success. Moreover, reduced supply and higher freight costs were supporting higher prices for extrusion.

Demand stayed low due to poor economic conditions and seasonal slowdowns, in key markets like automotive, construction, and appliances. Meanwhile, import flows remained steady despite higher freight rates and longer lead times.

Current developments suggest little change in the price outlook for most grades, with stability expected in the short term, a mild retreat towards the year’s end, and a recovery at the beginning of next year.

However, for extrusion grade, an upward revision sees prices climbing in the short term, levelling off after summer, also retreating at the end of the year, and picking up at the forecast’s tail end. For extrusion, the upward adjustment is linked to tightening supply and renewed increases in freight costs.

The higher freight costs are likely to place upward pressure on import prices and this should support domestic producers in securing increases, despite weak demand.

The most plausible scenario is that prices will either increase or roll over. Current developments, especially in the extrusion market, indicate that prices are unlikely to decrease in the next few months. A decrease is expected at the end of the year as demand remains low, potentially leading to another rush to destock.

Source: GC Intelligence

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